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[quote] On 2006-11-19 00:32, MML wrote: [quote] On 2006-11-18 23:11, liup wrote: [quote] On 2006-11-18 23:01, MML wrote: 週圍嘅 forum 都話佢蝕哂分, 係假熱門, 係對賭目標, i.e. 就算跑都唔應該會太熱 (起碼普羅馬迷唔支持)。當然, 少一隻馬跑, 賠率自然會低D。
[/quote] 以你認為, 好利威或俊歡騰又是不是假熱門呢? [/quote] Preliminarily, I prefer 祝福 < 天仲之寶, 好利威. As regards 勝利飛駒, if its body weight drops to around 1080LB tomorrow, I will include it. In the last start, 祝福 sprinted from very behind under the final half mile of 45.9, I appreciate it very much. Merely based on that race, it should be able to beat those running in front and in the mid-field, such as 星運爵士 & 天仲之寶 etc. (P.S. If 天仲之寶 was not blocked AND IF it could 貫注到底, it should have finished very close to 星運爵士. This time, its body weight is getting towards its normal level.) [i]Ugh! Your question "以你認為, 好利威或俊歡騰又是不是假熱門呢?..."[/i] RE: 俊歡騰 ... From my point of view, it is yet unproven. Seeing the opponents it had beaten before and being the 1st run at ST-1600, I would guess its reasonable W-odd at around 7-8. If there is a 非我莫屬 in this race, I'd rather try it than 俊歡騰. (P.S. To 兜翻, it scored 100% win in this season without full challenge, i.e. it is in very good progress. I will not be surprised to see it win the 3rd time ..... though I won't consider it in my 6-up combination.) RE: 好利威 ... Last time being a warm up run at ST-1200, its performance was not worse than 新力升. It won at ST-1600 before. The time and final section was good. It'd beaten 永利好 and outpaced the 3rd by 2-1/2L. 新力升 finished 6th, lost by 4L. Since 好利威 will likely be running in box seat, a slow to moderate pace is not going to pose any problem to it. I will include it as a leg. Of course, W-odd of over 5 is more reasonable. Please offer your views. [/quote]
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