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明天有一匹參賽馬適合 戴勝 發揮 |
心中有運winner5a
註冊於: 02/01/2006
發帖數目: 113 |  發表於: 2006-12-22 on 17:30
R8新馬威
呢隻馬可以留到最後跑，不需在馬群中，好適合勝哥近期的演譯，我打算1W1P。
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JimmyMa
註冊於: 29/09/2006
發帖數目: 5345
| 發表於: 2006-12-22 on 21:11
此馬前一場由恩伯伯在同程後上如箭,84倍跑
第3露光, 跟住上場恩伯伯又在谷草2200後上
又負頭馬1.5身位. 今場換上戴勝即成熱門,
會唔會綁左條利唔識跑呀 
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河馬仔hiphip3678
註冊於: 30/08/2004
發帖數目: 6147 | 發表於: 2006-12-23 on 00:33
Quote:
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On 2006-12-22 21:11, JimmyMa wrote:
此馬前一場由恩伯伯在同程後上如箭,84倍跑
第3露光, 跟住上場恩伯伯又在谷草2200後上
又負頭馬1.5身位. 今場換上戴勝即成熱門,
會唔會綁左條利唔識跑呀
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我都咁諗,好少咁筍
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MML
註冊於: 05/04/2003
發帖數目: 5650
| 發表於: 2006-12-23 on 01:21
Quote:
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On 2006-12-22 17:30, winner5a wrote:
R8新馬威
呢隻馬可以留到最後跑，不需在馬群中，好適合勝哥近期的演譯，我打算1W1P。
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http://www.pedigreequery.com/parfum+parfait
睇 sire 同 BM sire, "新馬威"似乎係大長途種, 上次 HV-2200 尾800 快速下衝得的確矚目, 值得記存, 亦可能留後跑法最佳。
如果真的是大長途馬, 今次從 2200m 縮程, 排不利外檔, 加上若用泥地不利的後上跑法, 應該要有相當吸引的賠率才可抵消這些不利因素。
(註: R209 時間水平普通, 頭6名勝負距離在 1-1/4馬位內; 沿途走 2w3w4w嘅 "馬友寶"(勝哥 ... 已連續兩次將之走既安全又望空之外疊)亦只負 4-1/4馬位, 這些賽績逆轉的可能性很高。)
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心中有運winner5a
註冊於: 02/01/2006
發帖數目: 113 | 發表於: 2007-01-04 on 09:21
新馬威 assigned to 14 檔
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JimmyMa
註冊於: 29/09/2006
發帖數目: 5345
| 發表於: 2007-01-04 on 14:47
Quote:
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On 2007-01-04 09:21, winner5a wrote:
新馬威 assigned to 14 檔
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排14檔冇問題呀! 反正隻馬都糸慣性慢閘,
今次有3個優點值得投注:
1) 除番绑脷.
2) 今場名氣馬多, 不會太熱.
3) 高/胡今季合作上名率高.
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HenryLaw
註冊於: 04/01/2007
發帖數目: 129
|  發表於: 2007-01-04 on 16:21
My apology of using English in replying you experts. It would take me real long to use the Chinese writing pad, but, if you prefer I will try to respond in Chinese too in the future.
On the subject of Smacko 新馬威, I basically agreed with most of the points you folks brought on. I even went further to check his background and would like to share with you here before we 'miss' out the boat.
(1) He looks to be a one-dimension come-from-behind distance type who needs fast pace to be his best over both surfaces (turf and dirt)
(2) He will be MOST DANGEROUS on Off track, I am almost certain about it, as he and his half-brother Questo Sappore (Brz) by Jules are both HEAVY ground winner.
(3) He looks to be a late-maturing type who is still improving and adapting to the environment here.
(4) On breeding, his sire Clackson (Brz) by I Say (Group winner in England, White Rose S at Ascot, Red Deer H and Coronation Cup at Epsom all distance races and also ran THIRD to that mighty Sea Bird in the 1966 English Derby) who ran 18 times and never missed a cheque with 10 wins, 4 seconds and 4 thirds in Brazil between 2 to 6 years of age. More importantly, Clackson was a SW at 2, 4, 5 and 6 but he is a much better horse over the dirt.
Then going down to his bottom line, his dam Infini (Brz) is not much of a race horse but still managed to win once from 13 starts.
As for his damsire Dynaformer, there is no need for my re-introduction, a top sire of turf and dirt horses, his babies EXCELLED when given plenty of time, they are at their best at the age of 5.
(5) Back to 新馬威 local races here, he has shown enough in the past 3 races and I am convinced he is most dangerous when racing a distance of ground 9-10f (1800-2000m) or further (too bad the racing programme here do not help, I am most disappointed with the distance races development here unless something drastic is introduced by the HKJC Boad of Management, but knowing full well what the public and the owners want, this is NOT GOING TO HAPPEN any sooner)
(6) Most important point for this Sunday's race, with new rider 高雅志 on, I would not doubt for a moment about his 'Winning Intention' even though I am expecting a SLOW PACE (not enough pacemakers) and drawn 14.
Thank you
Henry
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pmengineers
註冊於: 23/11/2002
發帖數目: 1020
| 發表於: 2007-01-04 on 16:37
Good piece of works. Keep going, Henry.
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獲利rodney
註冊於: 14/09/2004
發帖數目: 2724 | 發表於: 2007-01-04 on 17:32
Welcome Henry!
welcome... another expert in horseracing!
(BTW, I'd recommend you to try using 九方 to input chinese character you'll find it too easy to learn. I did have the same trouble in inputing chinese character by using writing pad, now.... 太方便，太容易)
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MML
註冊於: 05/04/2003
發帖數目: 5650
| 發表於: 2007-01-04 on 17:59
Quote:
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On 2007-01-04 16:21, HenryLaw wrote:
.....
On the subject of Smacko 新馬威,
.....
.....
(5) Back to 新馬威 local races here, he has shown enough in the past 3 races and I am convinced he is most dangerous when racing a distance of ground 9-10f (1800-2000m) or further (too bad the racing programme here do not help, I am most disappointed with the distance races development here unless something drastic is introduced by the HKJC Boad of Management, but knowing full well what the public and the owners want, this is NOT GOING TO HAPPEN any sooner)
(6) Most important point for this Sunday's race, with new rider 高雅志 on, I would not doubt for a moment about his 'Winning Intention' even though I am expecting a SLOW PACE (not enough pacemakers) and drawn 14.
Thank you
Henry
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Welcome Henry. Thx for sharing the valuable information.
I agree very much to your 'grievance' on the limited chance for routers in HK. Within the coming 2 months, 新馬威 has no further option besides another ST-2000 in Feb. Likewise, other routers (actually their trainers) will treasure the limited chance, making the competition very keen.
At first glance of the racecard, the wide draw seems to be a big challenge.
I need more time to study the race. Will come later for discussion. 
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