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R2 名店之星 |
心中有運winner5a
註冊於: 02/01/2006
發帖數目: 113 |  發表於: 2007-03-01 on 22:17
上場走勢簡直係超班，慢閘後，有前速上番去中間主馬群，四疊開外，直路都唔散，呢0的走勢非常吸引人，大家認為如何。
特別請教MML兄，對此馬上仗的評級，謝謝。
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kevinyeung
註冊於: 01/03/2007
發帖數目: 44 |  發表於: 2007-03-02 on 05:16
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On 2007-03-01 22:17, winner5a wrote:
上場走勢簡直係超班，慢閘後，有前速上番去中間主馬群，四疊開外，直路都唔散，呢0的走勢非常吸引人，大家認為如何。
特別請教MML兄，對此馬上仗的評級，謝謝。
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I would not recommend him as banker
For this race, I still think that No 3 would be the winner (if no track bias)
Strategy: No 2 and 3 as banker for f4
No 1,4,5,6,8.9.12 would run close 
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cmyk
註冊於: 10/01/2005
發帖數目: 641 | 發表於: 2007-03-02 on 14:52
搭單問下同場隻『糖果博士』，已試左三次泥閘
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MML
註冊於: 05/04/2003
發帖數目: 5650
| 發表於: 2007-03-02 on 22:50
Quote:
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On 2007-03-01 22:17, winner5a wrote:
上場走勢簡直係超班，慢閘後，有前速上番去中間主馬群，四疊開外，直路都唔散，呢0的走勢非常吸引人，大家認為如何。
特別請教MML兄，對此馬上仗的評級，謝謝。
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Thank you for your suggestion.
R2 名店之星 raced once at Dirt-1200 in R375.
Re: 慢閘後，有前速上番去中間主馬群 ....
No objection. It's worth attention that Fr1 in that race was just 23.9 which was a bit slow.
Re: 四疊開外，直路都唔散 ....
Fully agreed. The most important of all is the a bit fast Fr2 (22.2). Running wide (esp without cover) at the turn under fast pace is quite fatal ! The other point to be focused is he still showed good heart near the finish post.
Re: 對此馬上仗的評級.
In R375, I ranked his performance the "4th", just slightly next to 翡翠舞士, 有聲有色 and 喜一龍. I have no objection if you prefer to rate him a bit higher because it was only his debut race.
However, I have some reservation about the race standard of R375. 喜一龍 is not a dirt-1200 specialist but could yet finish very close if not blocked. Moreover, 凱旋煌 & 金津寶 etc showed good dash apparently. And the 3rd finisher 福慧, his ability is yet to be proven.
R2 on Mar-4 is likely a "slow pace" race.
活力驍 won in R351 in similar pace pattern. So it sprinted home in the final section of "23". Though 活力驍 was pace benefited, there was only a 有聲有色 could get close to him.
卓暉 is no doubt a top Cl-4 horse. It was fully proven in the last season. R110 was a high standard race and R220 was a slow pace race in which it finished 2nd with the best dash. Please note that its few runs this season were mostly misleading form. Of course, the abnormal race frequency is suspicious.
糖果博士 is an unknown object which showed its ability in R184 (ST-1200). Though pace benefited, the race finished in 1.09.0 (Class record time) with the final half mile at 44.8 (2nd fast)! Can't discard him even first time on the all weather track. It is good to see its preliminary body weight resumed to 108xLB (it dropped to 1058LB and lost last time). It seems that the trainer has skipped ST-1200 and HV-1200 with intent.
威其利 became a bit short dash this season. Not sure if it is due to the fitness or heavy weight carried. He also ran 3w last time in R375 (behind 名店之星 ) but it got better draw this time. He was clearly K.O. by 活力驍 in R351 (4.5L) giving a handicap of 10 LB but there is a +/- 17LB variation this time.
再戰風雲 - I won't be surprised to see him handle sprint race even better cos' it's a very short dash horse. His R148(ST-1400) assured its competitiveness. Last time, a bad start screwed up the whole thing, esp under an unfavourable pace pattern and blocked somewhere 300-150. Not bad dash already. His sire Hennessy was by Storm Cat, adaptability on the dirt tends to optimistic.
勁收 sprinted satisfactorily under favourable pace in his first up at HV-1200. Barrier 4 + B1, and his sire Gilded Time might assure not bad early speed. No objection to include it as a T-leg.
福慧 ..... T-leg la.
Just prelim glance of some horses in R2. Not yet decided my final selections without seeing the odds. ^_^
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上帝禁區joey909kl
註冊於: 13/05/2003
發帖數目: 2105 | 發表於: 2007-03-02 on 22:53
我想問埋匹 勁收 我睇左幾耐
呢場我博 名店之星 勁收 糖果博士
活力驍9經15場賽事 上場步速/形勢夢幻先打開勝門 可以有幾叻 又冇odds 1檔都唔要 博佢希
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上帝禁區joey909kl
註冊於: 13/05/2003
發帖數目: 2105 | 發表於: 2007-03-02 on 23:05
thx 但係 勁收 貢科 又唔細粒 上場亂跑都有d蠻勁 又B1 又跑得少 又跑得唔多 又有得博進步 唔止t腳貢簡單o既
我講得係咪好有point呢
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MML
註冊於: 05/04/2003
發帖數目: 5650
| 發表於: 2007-03-02 on 23:26
Quote:
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On 2007-03-02 23:05, joey909kl wrote:
thx 但係 勁收 貢科 又唔細粒 上場亂跑都有d蠻勁 又B1 又跑得少 又跑得唔多 又有得博進步 唔止t腳貢簡單o既
我講得係咪好有point呢
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Hehe, 有point有point .... 不過點解話佢"上場亂跑"呢？
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心中有運winner5a
註冊於: 02/01/2006
發帖數目: 113 | 發表於: 2007-03-03 on 08:05
thank you MML's details explanation.
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liup
註冊於: 13/09/2003
發帖數目: 2628 | 發表於: 2007-03-03 on 10:26
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On 2007-03-02 22:50, MML wrote:
...Just prelim glance of some horses in R2. Not yet decided my final selections without seeing the odds. ^_^
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Please keep us posted of your final selections in due course.
Remember to make it before the race post time. Many thanks. ^_^
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JimmyMa
註冊於: 29/09/2006
發帖數目: 5345
| 發表於: 2007-03-03 on 11:52
Quote:
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On 2007-03-02 22:53, joey909kl wrote:
我想問埋匹 勁收 我睇左幾耐
呢場我博 名店之星 勁收 糖果博士
活力驍9經15場賽事 上場步速/形勢夢幻先打開勝門 可以有幾叻 又冇odds 1檔都唔要
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勁收-我个人認為頭,二名就唔駛預佢啦, 最多買T同F4擺佢係3.4位, 點解? 如果唔信, 明天便有答案囉. 
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